A groundbreaking advancement in the fight against melanoma—a notoriously aggressive skin cancer—has emerged from the laboratories of NYU Langone Health. Researchers have demonstrated that monitoring circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) fragments in a patient’s bloodstream offers an accurate forecast of cancer recurrence, holding promise to revolutionize how clinicians track and respond to this deadly disease. This molecular approach pivots on detecting DNA shed by malignant cells as they die, providing a real-time glimpse into tumor dynamics that traditional imaging and tissue biopsies often miss.
The investigative team, operating through NYU Langone’s Perlmutter Cancer Center, focused their study on stage III melanoma patients. This intermediate stage is marked by cancerous cells that have migrated beyond the primary skin lesion to regional lymph nodes, significantly complicating prognosis and treatment outcomes. In this cohort, approximately 80% of those patients exhibiting measurable ctDNA before commencing adjuvant therapies ultimately suffered disease recurrence. Remarkably, these patients experienced a return of melanoma more than four times faster compared to those without detectable circulating tumor markers, underscoring ctDNA’s predictive potency.
Circulating tumor DNA quantification transcends mere presence or absence; it also unveils an important correlation between the concentration of these genetic fragments and the timeline of cancer relapse. Higher levels of ctDNA prior to and during treatment were linked with accelerated tumor resurgence, emphasizing not only ctDNA’s role as a binary biomarker but also as a nuanced gauge of tumor burden and aggressiveness. These insights pave the way for a dynamic monitoring tool capable of real-time adjustments to therapeutic strategy.
Lead author Mahrukh Syeda, MS, a research scientist affiliated with NYU Grossman School of Medicine’s Department of Dermatology, highlights that the ability to identify patients likely to respond well to immunotherapy or targeted agents via ctDNA profiling could transform clinical decision-making. Unlike conventional imaging modalities such as computed tomography (CT) or X-rays, which rely on visible anatomical changes, ctDNA assays capture the molecular footprint of tumor activity, offering a head start in detecting relapse or resistance.
Significantly, the research unveiled that the re-emergence of ctDNA during treatment—whether at three, six, nine, or twelve months—signaled almost inevitable disease recurrence. This trajectory suggests that rising ctDNA levels, even after an initial negative baseline, may serve as an early molecular alarm indicating the onset of minimal residual disease or therapeutic escape, well in advance of radiological confirmation. Such a predictive biomarker could dramatically alter patient management protocols, enabling a shift from reactive to proactive cancer care.
Stage III melanoma poses unique challenges because surgical resection of affected lymph nodes does not guarantee eradication of microscopic disease. Residual tumor cells often evade detection by standard imaging, allowing relapse to unfold covertly. This underscores the urgent need for sensitive, non-invasive biomarkers such as ctDNA to bridge this diagnostic gap and guide timely clinical interventions before overt metastases develop.
The ctDNA assay employed in this study utilized droplet digital PCR technology designed to detect the BRAFV600 mutation—one of the most prevalent genetic alterations driving melanoma pathogenesis. As tumor cells undergo apoptosis or necrosis, fragments of mutated DNA are liberated into the bloodstream, where they can be isolated and quantitatively analyzed. This molecular fingerprinting not only confirms the presence of malignancy but also ties biological insights directly to known oncogenic drivers, facilitating personalized medicine.
Prior investigations in other cancer types including colorectal and breast cancers have established ctDNA’s utility in monitoring therapeutic response and minimal residual disease. Furthermore, a previous NYU Langone study in 2021 demonstrated that elevated ctDNA levels correlated with poorer survival outcomes in patients with metastatic (stage IV) melanoma, and that dynamic changes in ctDNA during therapy captured crucial prognostic information. This current large-scale validation in stage III melanoma reinforces and extends those observations, broadening the clinical applicability of liquid biopsy platforms.
The landmark study encompassed nearly 600 patients enrolled in a multinational clinical trial spanning Europe, North America, and Australia. By systematically comparing ctDNA measurements with clinical evidence of relapse—while adjusting for demographic and treatment variables—the researchers reinforced the robustness and generalizability of their findings. Notably, ctDNA assessment outperformed other biomarker assays focused on immune activity within tumor tissue, emphasizing its superior specificity and direct indication of tumor presence.
David Polsky, MD, PhD, the senior author and a veteran dermatologist at NYU Langone, underscores that unlike tumor biopsies, which offer a static snapshot and cannot unequivocally confirm recurrence, ctDNA testing delivers a real-time, unequivocal molecular signal indicating disease status. However, he cautions that some recurrences did occur despite negative ctDNA tests prior to therapy initiation, illustrating the need for further refinement to increase assay sensitivity without compromising specificity.
Ongoing efforts now aim to enhance the analytic sensitivity of ctDNA detection techniques while rigorously evaluating how active clinical deployment of this biomarker-guided monitoring can improve patient survival and quality of life. Future clinical trials will explore whether real-time ctDNA feedback can inform therapeutic modifications, enabling timely escalation or de-escalation of adjuvant treatments according to disease activity.
The study received funding support from Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, reflecting a growing pharmaceutical interest in integrating liquid biopsies into personalized oncology. Importantly, all potential conflicts of interest related to funding and advisory roles have been transparently disclosed and managed in accordance with institutional policies, ensuring scientific integrity and independence.
This breakthrough heralds a new era in melanoma care, where molecular surveillance through ctDNA can offer patients and clinicians a critical edge in anticipating and combating disease recurrence. By capturing the silent molecular whispers of returning cancer well before clinical manifestations, ctDNA testing promises to tip the scales toward more precise, timely, and effective interventions in a battle where early detection literally saves lives.
Subject of Research: Animals
Article Title: Clinical validation of droplet digital PCR assays in detecting BRAFV600-mutant circulating tumour DNA as a prognostic biomarker in patients with resected stage III melanoma receiving adjuvant therapy (COMBI-AD): a biomarker analysis from a double-blind, randomised phase 3 trial
News Publication Date: 15-Apr-2025
Web References: 10.1016/S1470-2045(25)00139-1
Keywords: Melanoma, Cancer treatments, Clinical research, Cancer research, Skin tumors, Cancer patients, Dermatology, DNA fragments
Tags: adjuvant therapies for melanomaadvancements in melanoma treatmentcancer recurrence predictioncirculating tumor DNA monitoringctDNA in melanoma patientsearly detection of melanoma recurrencegene-based blood test for melanomainnovative cancer tracking methodsmolecular diagnostics for skin cancerNYU Langone Health melanoma researchreal-time tumor dynamics monitoringstage III melanoma prognosis
